Thinking in Bets By Annie Duke (Hardcover)

Book by Annie Duke titled "Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don't Have All the Facts." The book discusses the concept of uncertainty and how to approach decision-making in situations where the outcome is not entirely predictable.

Annie Duke, a former World Series of Poker champion turned business consultant, uses examples from various fields such as business, sports, politics, and poker to illustrate her ideas. She argues that even the best decisions can result in unfavorable outcomes due to the element of luck and hidden information that cannot be controlled. Instead of seeking certainty, Duke suggests adopting a "thinking in bets" approach, where individuals assess their level of confidence, consider various possible outcomes, and make decisions based on the highest odds of success.

The book aims to help readers become more comfortable with uncertainty and make better decisions by avoiding knee-jerk biases and reactive emotions. It encourages a shift in thinking from a need for certainty to a focus on accurately evaluating available information and being open to the possibility of unforeseen results. By adopting this mindset, individuals can become more confident, composed, and successful in their decision-making processes.

Overall, "Thinking in Bets" offers valuable insights and practical tools for anyone seeking to navigate uncertainty and improve their decision-making skills in various aspects of life.